Who's betting on “Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 61% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is bernardbulletin, with $1.8K on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,124 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is rocky42001, with $13 on it, $925 lifetime profit over 809 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $54
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.3K on it
- 1bernardbulletin75% won of 1,124 · whale$1.8K+$198K lifetime
- 20x9e24bD0ebC6A423C43cf600E7bF1170A867B7e71-177563255369980% won of 1,156 · balanced$184+$1.7K lifetime
- 3dcog42% won of 12$112+$23 lifetime
- 4wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$78+$4.2K lifetime
- 5warptrading90% won of 216$52−$5.4K lifetime
No$54 on it
- 1rocky4200152% won of 809 · whale$13+$925 lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$10+$254K lifetime
- 3mcphearson9946% won of 217$5−$18 lifetime
- 4stra-l1116% won of 242$4−$376 lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$4−$485K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
14 more- Utah$97K vol.Yes 95%No 6%Smart money: Yes
- Indiana$36K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- South Carolina$29K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Wisconsin$24K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Louisiana$24K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- New York$22K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- Texas$22K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Minnesota$17K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Maryland$17K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Missouri$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- North Carolina$16K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Virginia$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Illinois$12K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Washington$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is bernardbulletin, with $1.8K on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,124 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is rocky42001, with $13 on it, $925 lifetime profit over 809 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.