Who's betting on “Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.2K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 68% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is fireponbabylon, with $13 on it, $25K lifetime profit over 206 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is 0x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-1771508511872, with $594 on it, $40K lifetime profit over 213 markets (52% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $529 on No.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $87
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $529
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$87 on it
- 1fireponbabylon64% won of 206 · whale$13+$25K lifetime
- 2BerkshireHahaway95% won of 313 · whale$11+$3.2K lifetime
- 3GrokEnjoyer52% won of 864 · whale$9+$20K lifetime
- 4b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,362 · whale$8+$22K lifetime
- 5JPLP52% won of 1,030 · whale$6+$39K lifetime
No$2.1K on it
- 10x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-177150851187252% won of 213 · balanced$594+$40K lifetime
- 2FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$573−$7.0K lifetime
- 3ronaldk87% won of 239 · sniper$529+$42K lifetime
- 4Poivre26% won of 357 · noise$189+$2.8K lifetime
- 5DuneMentat74% won of 841$90−$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
14 more- Utah$97K vol.Yes 95%No 6%Smart money: Yes
- Indiana$36K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Wisconsin$24K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Louisiana$24K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- New York$22K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- Texas$22K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- California$18K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- Minnesota$17K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Maryland$17K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Missouri$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- North Carolina$16K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Virginia$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Illinois$12K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Washington$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is fireponbabylon, with $13 on it, $25K lifetime profit over 206 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is 0x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-1771508511872, with $594 on it, $40K lifetime profit over 213 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.