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Who's betting on “Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?”?

Geopolitics$24K traded26 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 16, 2026
15%Yes
85%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$24K
traded all time
Held now
$617
by 26 wallets
Smart share · Yes
63%
17 scored holders
Smart share · No
69%
9 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

63% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.

Who holds it

26 wallets hold a position worth $617 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is rontro28, with $33 on it, $7.5K lifetime profit over 275 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is DoubleAgentKrasnov, with $269 on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 218 markets (84% won).

Yes15%
Smart money share63%
7 days ago 63%a day ago 63%now 63%
Holders
17
Money on it
$90
Holders' win rate
46%
No85%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share69%
7 days ago 69%a day ago 69%now 69%
Holders
9
Money on it
$528
Holders' win rate
78%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$90 on it

  1. 1rontro2835% won of 275 · noise$33+$7.5K lifetime
  2. 2pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$11−$320K lifetime
  3. 3b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,389 · whale$9+$22K lifetime
  4. 4V4grant37% won of 788$8−$493 lifetime
  5. 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$7+$28K lifetime

No$528 on it

  1. 1DoubleAgentKrasnov84% won of 218 · balanced$269+$5.1K lifetime
  2. 2Bromley8689% won of 1,139 · whale$85+$40K lifetime
  3. 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$81−$378K lifetime
  4. 4geonb98% won of 59$48+$9 lifetime
  5. 5GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$17−$89K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?"?

26 wallets hold a position worth $617 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is rontro28, with $33 on it, $7.5K lifetime profit over 275 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is DoubleAgentKrasnov, with $269 on it, $5.1K lifetime profit over 218 markets (84% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

63% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.