Who's betting on “Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.7K by 85 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
Who holds it
85 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is bmtr, with $265 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 232 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is controls, with $1.5K on it, $51K lifetime profit over 832 markets (81% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $216 on Yes.
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 1 · $216
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.5K on it
- 1bmtr63% won of 232 · balanced$265+$16K lifetime
- 2viktorurolog1683% won of 196 · balanced$241+$15K lifetime
- 3Hans32378% won of 307 · whale$225+$93K lifetime
- 4ronaldk87% won of 239 · sniper$216+$42K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$86+$325K lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 1controls81% won of 832 · whale$1.5K+$51K lifetime
- 2nicolasGurr68% won of 229 · balanced$1.1K+$3.3K lifetime
- 3StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$368+$98K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$220−$377K lifetime
- 5Dondigidin75% won of 465 · whale$186+$8.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?"?
85 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them. The largest Yes holder is bmtr, with $265 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 232 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is controls, with $1.5K on it, $51K lifetime profit over 832 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.