Who's betting on “Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $117K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.1K by 84 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 60% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $117K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
60% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
Who holds it
84 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is ronaldk, with $120 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 239 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is randomWalkingShrimp, with $1.1K on it, $39K lifetime profit over 231 markets (89% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $120 on Yes.
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $283
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 1 · $120
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$283 on it
- 1ronaldk87% won of 239 · sniper$120+$42K lifetime
- 2Dimir18% won of 28$81−$3.5K lifetime
- 3Sunshine96373% won of 45 · balanced$19+$2.5K lifetime
- 4rontro2835% won of 275 · noise$14+$7.5K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$13+$255K lifetime
No$4.9K on it
- 1randomWalkingShrimp89% won of 231 · whale$1.1K+$39K lifetime
- 2justme00376% won of 394$773−$26K lifetime
- 3KrdRL84% won of 110 · balanced$492+$1.2K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$442+$334K lifetime
- 5bolla-57767% won of 206 · balanced$381+$59K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?"?
84 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is ronaldk, with $120 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 239 markets (87% won). The largest No holder is randomWalkingShrimp, with $1.1K on it, $39K lifetime profit over 231 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $117K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.