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Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?”?

Politics$4.3K traded49 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
58%Yes🧠 smart money
42%No

Smart money leans Yes: 55% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$4.3K
traded all time
Held now
$4.0K
by 49 wallets
Smart share · Yes
55%
27 scored holders
Smart share · No
38%
22 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 58¢ and No at 42¢, a 58% implied chance of Yes. $4.3K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

55% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points.

Who holds it

49 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jarrad, with $406 on it, $611 lifetime profit over 149 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is 445runecypher, with $288 on it, $18 lifetime loss over 75 markets (3% won).

Yes58%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share55%
Holders
27
Money on it
$2.3K
Holders' win rate
45%
No42%
Smart money share38%
Holders
22
Money on it
$1.7K
Holders' win rate
36%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.3K on it

  1. 1Jarrad66% won of 149 · balanced$406+$611 lifetime
  2. 2Quarrelsome-Branch75% won of 657 · whale$384+$111K lifetime
  3. 3lunarmeridian3939354% won of 71$363−$25 lifetime
  4. 42012shadow2% won of 82$315−$28 lifetime
  5. 5jesuslovesy0u73% won of 322 · balanced$296+$5.8K lifetime

No$1.7K on it

  1. 1445runecypher3% won of 75$288−$18 lifetime
  2. 2momentum8880% won of 77$215−$23 lifetime
  3. 3ezfzezefze46% won of 11,019$168−$11K lifetime
  4. 4randomizer199855% won of 278 · balanced$168+$9.9K lifetime
  5. 5beaconhelix3% won of 72$167−$30 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?"?

49 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jarrad, with $406 on it, $611 lifetime profit over 149 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is 445runecypher, with $288 on it, $18 lifetime loss over 75 markets (3% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 58¢ and No at 42¢, a 58% implied chance of Yes. $4.3K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

55% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.