Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?”?

Politics$350 traded15 holdersEnds October 29, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
77%Yes🧠 smart money
24%No

Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$350
traded all time
Held now
$467
by 15 wallets
Smart share · Yes
72%
6 scored holders
Smart share · No
38%
9 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 24¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $350 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

The smart money

72% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 34 points.

Who holds it

15 wallets hold a position worth $467 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is jeev, with $105 on it, $95 lifetime profit over 3,953 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is ezfzezefze, with $36 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 11,019 markets (46% won).

Yes77%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share72%
Holders
6
Money on it
$358
Holders' win rate
61%
No24%
Smart money share38%
Holders
9
Money on it
$110
Holders' win rate
53%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$358 on it

  1. 1jeev57% won of 3,953 · whale$105+$95 lifetime
  2. 2bonalddrunk60% won of 378$92−$13K lifetime
  3. 3puravida64% won of 1,346 · whale$77+$37K lifetime
  4. 4Jarrad66% won of 149 · balanced$77+$611 lifetime
  5. 5echotrader28% won of 3,011$4−$25K lifetime

No$110 on it

  1. 1ezfzezefze46% won of 11,019$36−$11K lifetime
  2. 2jkerkela61% won of 106 · balanced$24+$490 lifetime
  3. 30xe3a0…579326% won of 920$23−$1.8K lifetime
  4. 4pabloponssol89% won of 9$17+$8.6K lifetime
  5. 5Auugh79% won of 71$5−$29 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?

15 more
Who's betting on What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?"?

15 wallets hold a position worth $467 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is jeev, with $105 on it, $95 lifetime profit over 3,953 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is ezfzezefze, with $36 on it, $11K lifetime loss over 11,019 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 77¢ and No at 24¢, a 77% implied chance of Yes. $350 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

72% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 34 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.