Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?”?
Smart money leans No: 36% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $1.1K traded all time
- Held now
- $769 by 29 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 30% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 55¢ and No at 45¢, a 55% implied chance of Yes. $1.1K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
The smart money
30% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it was split.
Who holds it
29 wallets hold a position worth $769 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is hfv, with $113 on it, $143K lifetime loss over 44,828 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $102 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $423
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $346
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$423 on it
- 1hfv42% won of 44,828$113−$143K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$110−$378K lifetime
- 3crypto-basenji47% won of 409 · whale$105+$3.6K lifetime
- 40x08ef9Bb12E694e305D5E0cf1761874cE902aE466-175812791545470% won of 278$55−$492 lifetime
- 5peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$17+$33K lifetime
No$346 on it
- 1TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$102−$52K lifetime
- 2badatthis62% won of 1,053 · whale$92+$82K lifetime
- 3whispercatalyst49% won of 2,931$76−$5.6K lifetime
- 4jkerkela61% won of 106 · balanced$27+$490 lifetime
- 5ezfzezefze46% won of 11,019$16−$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
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- Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times$587 vol.Yes 66%No 35%Smart money split
- Hell 15+ times$524 vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money: Yes
- Hormuz / Blockade$350 vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: Yes
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- Job 20+ times$190 vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money split
- SI / Super Intelligence$174 vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- Ass$86 vol.Yes 46%No 55%Smart money: Yes
- Biden / Obama / Kamala 15+ times$10 vol.Yes 39%No 61%Smart money: No
- MilkYes 38%No 62%Smart money split
- Strategic / StrategyYes 44%No 56%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?"?
29 wallets hold a position worth $769 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is hfv, with $113 on it, $143K lifetime loss over 44,828 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $102 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 55¢ and No at 45¢, a 55% implied chance of Yes. $1.1K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
30% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.