Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Ranked Choice" this week?”?
Smart money leans No: 51% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $174 traded all time
- Held now
- $98 by 5 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 0% 2 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 3 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $174 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
The smart money
0% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points.
Who holds it
5 wallets hold a position worth $98 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 5 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $30 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is ruletheworldPM, with $35 on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 324 markets (74% won).
- Holders
- 2
- Money on it
- $30
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $68
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$30 on it
- 1TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$30−$52K lifetime
- 20xC2cAb36AC330e3f7DFcaE56fe1F0A89940f804f5-177153588935327% won of 2,704 · noise$0+$6.8K lifetime
No$68 on it
- 1ruletheworldPM74% won of 324 · balanced$35+$1.4K lifetime
- 2weather-vane86% won of 249$33−$270 lifetime
- 3HyperboreanBryanCaplanFan81% won of 280$0−$599 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Trump say this week? (October 26 - November 1)
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- Death To America$11 vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: Yes
- Gays For PalestineYes 26%No 74%Smart money split
- EasterYes 26%No 74%Smart money split
- Pirate$606 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
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- Ceasefire / Uranium$299 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Moon$217 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- No No No$167 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Apple$142 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Good Looking$119 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Athlete / Athletic$98 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Genius / Elon / Musk$88 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Ranked Choice" this week?"?
5 wallets hold a position worth $98 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 5 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $30 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is ruletheworldPM, with $35 on it, $1.4K lifetime profit over 324 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Ranked Choice" this week?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $174 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
0% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.