Who's betting on “Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $193 traded all time
- Held now
- $124 by 7 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 3 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 40% 4 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $193 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
The smart money
96% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 58 points.
Who holds it
7 wallets hold a position worth $124 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 7 of them. The largest Yes holder is Quarrelsome-Branch, with $49 on it, $111K lifetime profit over 657 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is Flingflonger, with $26 on it, $234 lifetime loss over 983 markets (44% won).
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $61
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $63
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$61 on it
- 1Quarrelsome-Branch75% won of 657 · whale$49+$111K lifetime
- 2CosmicCedar86% won of 2,058 · whale$9+$29K lifetime
- 3Mr.Gooner53% won of 269$2−$90 lifetime
No$63 on it
- 1Flingflonger44% won of 983$26−$234 lifetime
- 2Faston83% won of 712 · balanced$26+$9.4K lifetime
- 3leena1274% won of 342$10−$910 lifetime
- 4blaretype87% won of 157$3−$137 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Trump say this week? (October 26 - November 1)
17 more- Ranked Choice$174 vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: No
- Radical Left Lunatic$150 vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
- Happy Halloween$150 vol.Yes 56%No 45%Smart money: No
- Six Seven$68 vol.Yes 54%No 46%Smart money: Yes
- Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency$55 vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Death To America$11 vol.Yes 27%No 74%Smart money: Yes
- EasterYes 26%No 74%Smart money split
- Gays For PalestineYes 26%No 74%Smart money split
- Pirate$606 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Trump Ocean / Trump Strait$369 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Ceasefire / Uranium$299 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Moon$217 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- No No No$167 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- Apple$142 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Good Looking$119 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Athlete / Athletic$98 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Genius / Elon / Musk$88 vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?"?
7 wallets hold a position worth $124 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 7 of them. The largest Yes holder is Quarrelsome-Branch, with $49 on it, $111K lifetime profit over 657 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is Flingflonger, with $26 on it, $234 lifetime loss over 983 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 49¢ and No at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of No. $193 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.