Who's betting on “Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 52% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
52% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $14 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is MasonsConqueredRome, with $978 on it, $86K lifetime loss over 209 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $64
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$64 on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$14+$72K lifetime
- 2thecaricature44% won of 717$14−$7.9K lifetime
- 3TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$8−$52K lifetime
- 4spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$8+$27K lifetime
- 51BTCis1BTC12% won of 300$6−$2.6K lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1MasonsConqueredRome86% won of 209$978−$86K lifetime
- 2EthanDeFi80% won of 41 · balanced$825+$1.0K lifetime
- 3zctrading83% won of 36 · balanced$301+$1.9K lifetime
- 4siick69% won of 1,040 · whale$183+$97K lifetime
- 5KingZeManel98% won of 879$139−$5.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
12 more- Kim Jong Un$289K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Vladimir Putin$186K vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: Yes
- Yoon Suk Yeol$105K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Nick Fuentes$96K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Jair Bolsonaro$79K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Changpeng Zhao$53K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Lai Ching-te$42K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Aleksandr Lukashenko$40K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Pope Leo XIV$38K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- iShowSpeed$32K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Mohammed bin Salman$32K vol.Yes 71%No 30%Smart money: No
- MrBeast$18K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $14 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is MasonsConqueredRome, with $978 on it, $86K lifetime loss over 209 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.