Who's betting on “Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 46% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $42K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 94 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 24% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 46% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
24% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
Who holds it
94 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is Numitus1994, with $52 on it, $28K lifetime loss over 15,720 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is SmartBoyBilly, with $576 on it, $9.0K lifetime loss over 2,620 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $126
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$126 on it
- 1Numitus199449% won of 15,720$52−$28K lifetime
- 2thecaricature44% won of 717$21−$7.9K lifetime
- 3peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,563 · whale$8+$31K lifetime
- 4Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$4+$6.4K lifetime
- 5BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$4+$7.9K lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 1SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$576−$9.0K lifetime
- 2StraddleSeller69% won of 550 · whale$509+$55K lifetime
- 3LFGGGGGGGG56% won of 108$396−$2.2K lifetime
- 4aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$307+$201K lifetime
- 50x351d4dD5B7A1037Bc84b5CA1433076778BC20EBE-175735027439865% won of 196$257−$139 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
12 more- Kim Jong Un$289K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Vladimir Putin$186K vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: Yes
- Yoon Suk Yeol$105K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Nick Fuentes$96K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Jair Bolsonaro$79K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Changpeng Zhao$53K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Aleksandr Lukashenko$40K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Pope Leo XIV$38K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- iShowSpeed$32K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Mohammed bin Salman$32K vol.Yes 71%No 30%Smart money: No
- MrBeast$18K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Nicolás Maduro$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?"?
94 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is Numitus1994, with $52 on it, $28K lifetime loss over 15,720 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is SmartBoyBilly, with $576 on it, $9.0K lifetime loss over 2,620 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
24% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.