
Who's betting on “Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $79K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 77 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $79K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
Who holds it
77 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is HornyBibi, with $24 on it, $33K lifetime profit over 237 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is QMG-CORE, with $1.4K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $112 on No.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $123
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
- Snipers
- 1 · $112
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$123 on it
- 1HornyBibi72% won of 237 · whale$24+$33K lifetime
- 2spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$20+$27K lifetime
- 3vitalitytens58% won of 205$10−$737 lifetime
- 4rocky4201850% won of 755$9−$26K lifetime
- 5Lavincey48% won of 4,955 · whale$6+$62K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
12 more- Kim Jong Un$289K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Vladimir Putin$186K vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: Yes
- Yoon Suk Yeol$105K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Nick Fuentes$96K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Changpeng Zhao$53K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Lai Ching-te$42K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Aleksandr Lukashenko$40K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Pope Leo XIV$38K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- iShowSpeed$32K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Mohammed bin Salman$32K vol.Yes 71%No 30%Smart money: No
- MrBeast$18K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Nicolás Maduro$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is HornyBibi, with $24 on it, $33K lifetime profit over 237 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is QMG-CORE, with $1.4K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $79K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.