Who's betting on “Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $73 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Oskoreiter, with $1.5K on it, $5.5K lifetime profit over 266 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $105
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$105 on it
- 1ToTheWindow55% won of 441 · whale$73+$36K lifetime
- 2Numitus199449% won of 15,720$11−$28K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$9+$255K lifetime
- 4LonelyScissors45% won of 3,485$4−$96 lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$2−$320K lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 1Oskoreiter62% won of 266 · balanced$1.5K+$5.5K lifetime
- 2clazzy169% won of 622 · whale$771+$27K lifetime
- 3completedegen97% won of 271 · grinder$463+$197 lifetime
- 4Mahnic59% won of 188 · balanced$77+$2.8K lifetime
- 5ab54545ba76% won of 29$68+$535 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $73 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Oskoreiter, with $1.5K on it, $5.5K lifetime profit over 266 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.