Who's betting on “Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $650 by 29 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 49 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
29 wallets hold a position worth $650 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $76 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $184 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $150
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $501
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$150 on it
- 1ToTheWindow55% won of 441 · whale$76+$36K lifetime
- 2Askeladd.65% won of 223 · balanced$37+$3.8K lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$13+$97K lifetime
- 4Malganis46% won of 1,721 · whale$12+$2.3K lifetime
- 50x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-176805201311273% won of 971 · balanced$5+$537 lifetime
No$501 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$184+$255K lifetime
- 20xc04804d0cC1cD7Fe3ea7A00E247F55E62C1927D0-178162715672262% won of 84$132−$309 lifetime
- 3melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$87+$56K lifetime
- 4sunnynotbunny60% won of 468$48−$28K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$15−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?"?
29 wallets hold a position worth $650 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $76 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $184 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 49 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.