Who's betting on “Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 93¢ and No at 8¢, a 93% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is melonmanm, with $549 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is rocky42015, with $55 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 1,053 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $126
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.7K on it
- 1melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$549+$56K lifetime
- 2Jydyjyd57% won of 277 · whale$510+$29K lifetime
- 3PavtheGreat51% won of 296$306−$2.4K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$73−$320K lifetime
- 5Podublin55% won of 136$43−$2.0K lifetime
No$126 on it
- 1rocky4201552% won of 1,053$55−$15K lifetime
- 2dpnd39% won of 240 · noise$22+$29K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$19+$255K lifetime
- 4kanhaoleaha83% won of 212 · balanced$11+$209 lifetime
- 5mehanizator42% won of 530 · noise$7+$6.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is melonmanm, with $549 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 986 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is rocky42015, with $55 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 1,053 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 93¢ and No at 8¢, a 93% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.