Who's betting on “Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $76K traded all time
- Held now
- $150 by 95 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 80 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $76K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
Who holds it
95 wallets hold a position worth $150 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is Lucerys, with $2 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 130,836 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is ggoodd5566, with $43 on it, $5 lifetime loss over 29 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $23
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $127
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$23 on it
- 1Lucerys41% won of 130,836 · whale$2+$288K lifetime
- 2kl0414100% won of 2$2+$74 lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$2+$1.2M lifetime
- 4e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$2+$964K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$1+$132K lifetime
No$127 on it
- 1ggoodd556690% won of 29$43−$5 lifetime
- 2lucky7773490% won of 21 · balanced$34+$17 lifetime
- 30x5986747c0cA0d457cdd086f9387DC4F2BC4D83E3-174711556043567% won of 202$20−$1.1K lifetime
- 4gjfhfg90% won of 58 · balanced$6+$32 lifetime
- 5jghjt8675694% won of 71$6−$125 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
2 more- Kuomintang (KMT)$136K vol.Yes 70%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)$124K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $150 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Yes holder is Lucerys, with $2 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 130,836 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is ggoodd5566, with $43 on it, $5 lifetime loss over 29 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $76K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.