Who's betting on “Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 61 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $136K traded all time
- Held now
- $46K by 291 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 206 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 21% 85 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 31¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $136K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 69 points. A week ago, Yes by 79 points.
Who holds it
291 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 291 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $17K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is 0xB9B85b9d6942644ACb634c4913B2aCB8bDd338B6-1781835650405, with $1.3K on it, $13K lifetime loss over 8 markets (25% won).
- Holders
- 206
- Money on it
- $41K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$41K on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$17K+$313K lifetime
- 2alwaysOn75% won of 1,025 · whale$5.8K+$28K lifetime
- 3dddmmm963no record yet$2.6K+$0 lifetime
- 4zxdfbdfgngcxv77% won of 1,234 · whale$2.6K+$83K lifetime
- 5Chims82% won of 1,288 · whale$2.1K+$83K lifetime
No$4.4K on it
- 10xB9B85b9d6942644ACb634c4913B2aCB8bDd338B6-178183565040525% won of 8$1.3K−$13K lifetime
- 2SirJason69% won of 13$687−$14 lifetime
- 3aoiaoiboo100% won of 1$465−$1.2K lifetime
- 4TTbilly75% won of 166 · whale$213+$113K lifetime
- 5join-in20% won of 122 · noise$212+$131 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
2 more- Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)$124K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money: No
- Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)$76K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?
291 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 291 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $17K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is 0xB9B85b9d6942644ACb634c4913B2aCB8bDd338B6-1781835650405, with $1.3K on it, $13K lifetime loss over 8 markets (25% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 31¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $136K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 21% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 69 points. A week ago, Yes by 79 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.