Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $124K traded all time
- Held now
- $40K by 160 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 82 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 77 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $124K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
Who holds it
160 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them. The largest Yes holder is Andylow5, with $9.7K on it, $0 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $7.5K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 77
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$22K on it
- 1Andylow5100% won of 1$9.7K+$0 lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$2.3K+$203K lifetime
- 3OwwO55% won of 11$2.2K−$286 lifetime
- 4dsarewkgfno record yet$2.1K+$0 lifetime
- 5aoiaoiboo100% won of 1$1.5K−$1.2K lifetime
No$18K on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$7.5K+$313K lifetime
- 2zxdfbdfgngcxv77% won of 1,234 · whale$2.8K+$83K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,370 · noise$2.3K+$828K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$863+$334K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,882$492−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
2 more- Kuomintang (KMT)$136K vol.Yes 70%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)$76K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?
160 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them. The largest Yes holder is Andylow5, with $9.7K on it, $0 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $7.5K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $124K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.