Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 29¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $538 on it, $164K lifetime profit over 15,901 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $668 on it, $417K lifetime profit over 5,833 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $826
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$826 on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,901 · whale$538+$164K lifetime
- 2JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$116+$17K lifetime
- 3shiifoo52% won of 4,733 · whale$79+$46K lifetime
- 4resilience2656% won of 3,262$41−$13K lifetime
- 5stephansmith200459% won of 44 · balanced$18+$162 lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,833 · whale$668+$417K lifetime
- 2K80PRO56% won of 901$228−$577 lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$128+$254K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$84+$27K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,066$43−$49K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
2 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $538 on it, $164K lifetime profit over 15,901 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $668 on it, $417K lifetime profit over 5,833 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 29¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.