Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.6K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 77 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is anciano, with $327 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $472 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,375 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $663
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $969
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$663 on it
- 1anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$327+$37K lifetime
- 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$98+$1.2M lifetime
- 3K80PRO56% won of 901$50−$577 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$49+$254K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$26+$27K lifetime
No$969 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$472+$1.2M lifetime
- 2SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,613$435−$8.9K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,066$44−$49K lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$11+$127K lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,348 · whale$4+$7.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
2 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is anciano, with $327 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 1,299 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $472 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,375 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 77 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.