Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 99% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
99% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is shiifoo, with $341 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,719 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $510 on it, $394K lifetime profit over 5,803 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1shiifoo52% won of 4,719 · whale$341+$46K lifetime
- 2BobMenendez56% won of 196 · balanced$262+$11K lifetime
- 3BreakTheBank88% won of 664 · whale$216+$11M lifetime
- 4AxelTapper100% won of 1$162+$6 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,169 · noise$89+$254K lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,803 · whale$510+$394K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,882$171−$377K lifetime
- 3thursdays62% won of 302 · whale$109+$10K lifetime
- 4resilience2656% won of 3,262$71−$13K lifetime
- 5K80PRO56% won of 859$71−$767 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
2 more- Andrews Wins$15K vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Graham 5-10%$15K vol.Yes 29%No 71%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is shiifoo, with $341 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,719 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $510 on it, $394K lifetime profit over 5,803 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.