Who's betting on “Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $37K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 76 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
96% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
Who holds it
76 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 76 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddaa, with $137 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is LJa7io23MCv954j, with $1.9K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 134 markets (87% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $308
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$308 on it
- 1paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$137+$288K lifetime
- 2wienerdog56% won of 332 · whale$75+$21K lifetime
- 3Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,956 · whale$12+$163K lifetime
- 488111260% won of 1,119 · whale$11+$450K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$9+$255K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1LJa7io23MCv954j87% won of 134 · whale$1.9K+$2.6K lifetime
- 2enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$389+$23K lifetime
- 3MEPP62% won of 1,084 · whale$194+$559K lifetime
- 4HornyBibi72% won of 237 · whale$151+$33K lifetime
- 5peterfromfamilyguy56% won of 322 · whale$138+$45K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
2 more- No Meeting by December 31$77K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: Yes
- Qatar$17K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?"?
76 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 76 of them. The largest Yes holder is paddaa, with $137 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is LJa7io23MCv954j, with $1.9K on it, $2.6K lifetime profit over 134 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $37K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.