Who's betting on “Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 35% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
35% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $500 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Noname333, with $562 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 220 markets (77% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $923
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$923 on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$500−$4.7M lifetime
- 288111260% won of 1,119 · whale$91+$450K lifetime
- 32026060144% won of 383$65−$18K lifetime
- 4ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$44+$904K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$38+$255K lifetime
No$1.8K on it
- 1Noname33377% won of 220 · balanced$562+$14K lifetime
- 20x7f6d…f6f653% won of 331 · balanced$302+$911 lifetime
- 30opj4kuu4xb247% won of 488$302−$13K lifetime
- 4peterfromfamilyguy56% won of 322 · whale$251+$45K lifetime
- 50x931844d0bf45d5d0134E67E7d6D6e24a4F9D2395-178012704698555% won of 75 · balanced$107+$695 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
2 more- No Meeting by December 31$77K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: Yes
- USA$37K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $500 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Noname333, with $562 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 220 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.