Who's betting on “Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 52 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
52 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is haouibao, with $53 on it, $196 lifetime loss over 90 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $620 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $543
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $812
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$543 on it
- 1haouibao98% won of 90$53−$196 lifetime
- 20x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,315 · whale$52+$64K lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$52+$97K lifetime
- 4JsonStatham45% won of 34,979$42−$32K lifetime
- 50x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$38+$8.7K lifetime
No$812 on it
- 1Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$620+$54K lifetime
- 2Jesetrading76% won of 274 · balanced$84+$6.1K lifetime
- 3e2021dc61% won of 484 · whale$32+$422 lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$30−$320K lifetime
- 5dpnd39% won of 240 · noise$30+$29K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
3 more- -1.00 to 0.99 ft$20K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- 3.00 ft or more$15K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- 1.00 to 2.99 ft$15K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?"?
52 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is haouibao, with $53 on it, $196 lifetime loss over 90 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $620 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.