Who's betting on “Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 33% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 51 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $456 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $240 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $950
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $510
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$950 on it
- 1Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$456+$54K lifetime
- 2haouibao98% won of 90$99−$196 lifetime
- 30x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,315 · whale$98+$64K lifetime
- 4alamedamemola42% won of 155 · noise$59+$163 lifetime
- 5EkoCam56% won of 347$51−$268 lifetime
No$510 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$240−$485K lifetime
- 22B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$126+$97K lifetime
- 30xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-178200852819057% won of 2,344$71−$3.4K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$39+$254K lifetime
- 50x5f4fc359460Dbe427Ae7D4F81b4a34B3678Cc2F1-176687891183137% won of 204$18−$1.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
3 more- -1.00 to 0.99 ft$20K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- -3.00 to -1.01 ft$19K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: No
- 3.00 ft or more$15K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $456 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $240 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 71¢, a 71% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 51 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.