Who's betting on “Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is tywwetherididi, with $412 on it, $1.2K lifetime profit over 274 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $336 on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $932
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1tywwetherididi55% won of 274 · balanced$412+$1.2K lifetime
- 2molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$228+$46K lifetime
- 3haouibao98% won of 90$116−$196 lifetime
- 40x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,315 · whale$115+$64K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$113+$254K lifetime
No$932 on it
- 10x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$336+$8.7K lifetime
- 2Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$201+$54K lifetime
- 3dpnd39% won of 240 · noise$131+$29K lifetime
- 4galhammerman29% won of 7,128$64−$28K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$47−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
3 more- -3.00 to -1.01 ft$19K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: No
- 3.00 ft or more$15K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- 1.00 to 2.99 ft$15K vol.Yes 30%No 71%Smart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is tywwetherididi, with $412 on it, $1.2K lifetime profit over 274 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $336 on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.