Who's betting on “Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is dpnd, with $572 on it, $29K lifetime profit over 240 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $270 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $853
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $876
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$853 on it
- 1dpnd39% won of 240 · noise$572+$29K lifetime
- 20x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,315 · whale$71+$64K lifetime
- 3youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$43−$6.5K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$38+$254K lifetime
- 50x3a9d…f33284% won of 95$26−$773 lifetime
No$876 on it
- 1Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$270+$54K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$156−$378K lifetime
- 3Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,972 · whale$151+$163K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$100−$485K lifetime
- 58ca891% won of 86 · grinder$48+$248 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?
2 more- 5.00 to 5.99 ft$15K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money: Yes
- 4.00 to 4.99 ft$10K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is dpnd, with $572 on it, $29K lifetime profit over 240 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $270 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.