Who's betting on “Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 88 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 52 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 4% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 40¢ and No at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 88 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points.
Who holds it
52 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $481 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is pykue, with $143 on it, $18K lifetime loss over 938 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $780
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$481+$203K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$93+$254K lifetime
- 30x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,315 · whale$89+$64K lifetime
- 40x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$64+$8.7K lifetime
- 50xf51b…ca1b47% won of 1,884 · whale$62+$10K lifetime
No$780 on it
- 1pykue56% won of 938$143−$18K lifetime
- 2tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$100−$217K lifetime
- 3hfv42% won of 44,828$76−$143K lifetime
- 4Majas29% won of 25,253$76−$25K lifetime
- 5t90v2ndbg0v0% won of 3$61−$16 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?
2 more- 6.00 ft or more$15K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
- 4.00 to 4.99 ft$10K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?"?
52 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $481 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,242 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is pykue, with $143 on it, $18K lifetime loss over 938 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 40¢ and No at 61¢, a 61% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 88 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.