Who's betting on “Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 90 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $848 by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 3% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
The smart money
93% of the money on Yes and 3% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 90 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 78 points. A week ago, Yes by 95 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $848 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $152 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is RazuchiDISNEY, with $87 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 1,571 markets (2% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $331
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $517
- Holders' win rate
- 25%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$331 on it
- 1Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$152+$54K lifetime
- 20x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-177700480220964% won of 307 · balanced$85+$3.5K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$47+$255K lifetime
- 40x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,286 · whale$18+$64K lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$9−$196 lifetime
No$517 on it
- 1RazuchiDISNEY2% won of 1,571$87−$15K lifetime
- 2tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$87−$217K lifetime
- 3RazuchiONE2% won of 2,102$87−$39K lifetime
- 4PMWolf47% won of 671$46−$776 lifetime
- 5ViscaElBarca1% won of 12,734$43−$65K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
2 more- 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft$15K vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: Yes
- 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft$13K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $848 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $152 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is RazuchiDISNEY, with $87 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 1,571 markets (2% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 3% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 90 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 78 points. A week ago, Yes by 95 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 2, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.