Who's betting on “Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?”?
Smart money leans No: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $904 by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $904 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $29 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $425 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $97
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $807
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$97 on it
- 1molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$29+$46K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$13−$485K lifetime
- 3dgfd7679% won of 278$8−$61 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$8+$254K lifetime
- 5dfupagain78% won of 240 · balanced$7+$2.2K lifetime
No$807 on it
- 1Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$425+$54K lifetime
- 21walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$83+$38K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$80−$320K lifetime
- 4youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$56−$6.5K lifetime
- 5jonej67% won of 433 · balanced$48+$4.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
2 more- Below 4,189.3 ft$18K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft$15K vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: Yes
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $904 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $29 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $425 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 2, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.