Who's betting on “Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 70 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 42 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 22% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 16¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
Who holds it
42 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is dpnd, with $832 on it, $29K lifetime profit over 240 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $58 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $152
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1dpnd39% won of 240 · noise$832+$29K lifetime
- 2variant1.meta65% won of 248 · balanced$348+$5.8K lifetime
- 3Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$294+$54K lifetime
- 40xf51b…ca1b47% won of 1,884 · whale$231+$10K lifetime
- 5dfupagain78% won of 240 · balanced$176+$2.2K lifetime
No$152 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$58−$485K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$32+$254K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$8−$320K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$8−$217K lifetime
- 50xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-178211198433261% won of 889$8−$518 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
2 more- Below 4,189.3 ft$18K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft$13K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?"?
42 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is dpnd, with $832 on it, $29K lifetime profit over 240 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $58 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 16¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points. A week ago, Yes by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 2, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.