Who's betting on “Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $50K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 95 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
95 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $137 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Kris-Future, with $2.8K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 54 markets (93% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $452
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$452 on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$137+$819K lifetime
- 2ToTheWindow55% won of 441 · whale$98+$36K lifetime
- 3gods-eye59% won of 32 · balanced$60+$12K lifetime
- 4cashy74% won of 1,037 · whale$34+$573K lifetime
- 50x91181D370F552c1d3018A0C8d120b9b43E21FC19-1775188852239100% won of 2$26−$258 lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1Kris-Future93% won of 54 · balanced$2.8K+$23K lifetime
- 2GOLADS9677% won of 60$1.8K−$2.2K lifetime
- 3WhateverXYZ86% won of 128 · balanced$1.8K+$13K lifetime
- 40xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$1.2K+$61K lifetime
- 5TronOG83% won of 417 · whale$1.1K+$60K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
2 more- December 31$18K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$12K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $137 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Kris-Future, with $2.8K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 54 markets (93% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.