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Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?”?

Politics$10K traded42 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
16%Yes
85%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$10K
traded all time
Held now
$1.7K
by 42 wallets
Smart share · Yes
55%
30 scored holders
Smart share · No
91%
12 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

55% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points.

Who holds it

42 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is shiifoo, with $184 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,735 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is cocococococo, with $375 on it, $107K lifetime profit over 1,415 markets (54% won).

Yes16%
Smart money share55%
Holders
30
Money on it
$732
Holders' win rate
53%
No85%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share91%
Holders
12
Money on it
$947
Holders' win rate
46%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$732 on it

  1. 1shiifoo52% won of 4,735 · whale$184+$46K lifetime
  2. 2blkcarib202065% won of 17$165−$174 lifetime
  3. 3AnEggplant46% won of 317$131−$5.7K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$75+$255K lifetime
  5. 5JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$60+$17K lifetime

No$947 on it

  1. 1cocococococo54% won of 1,415 · whale$375+$107K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$310+$127K lifetime
  3. 3donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$118+$829K lifetime
  4. 4Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$51−$377K lifetime
  5. 5ocpna62% won of 269 · balanced$35+$24K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?"?

42 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is shiifoo, with $184 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,735 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is cocococococo, with $375 on it, $107K lifetime profit over 1,415 markets (54% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

55% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.