Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is cookiejar, with $895 on it, $206 lifetime profit over 203 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is AnEggplant, with $1.4K on it, $5.7K lifetime loss over 317 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.5K on it
- 1cookiejar80% won of 203 · whale$895+$206 lifetime
- 2invincibles72% won of 39$334−$1.2K lifetime
- 3shiifoo52% won of 4,739 · whale$89+$46K lifetime
- 4ocpna62% won of 269 · balanced$50+$24K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$41+$27K lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1AnEggplant46% won of 317$1.4K−$5.7K lifetime
- 2clazzy169% won of 624 · whale$393+$27K lifetime
- 3AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,846 · whale$264+$412K lifetime
- 4bonalddrunk60% won of 378$208−$13K lifetime
- 5johnnath122249% won of 252 · whale$191+$4.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is cookiejar, with $895 on it, $206 lifetime profit over 203 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is AnEggplant, with $1.4K on it, $5.7K lifetime loss over 317 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.