Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 98% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 48% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
98% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is cookiejar, with $551 on it, $206 lifetime profit over 203 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is JohnP92, with $359 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 423 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $917
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $795
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$917 on it
- 1cookiejar80% won of 203 · whale$551+$206 lifetime
- 2RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$83+$9.4K lifetime
- 3shiifoo52% won of 4,739 · whale$83+$46K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$58+$27K lifetime
- 5G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$50+$22K lifetime
No$795 on it
- 1JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$359+$17K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$273−$377K lifetime
- 3smarterstrat2% won of 10,871$58−$18K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,201$48−$49K lifetime
- 5donald6274% won of 81$23−$23 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
2 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is cookiejar, with $551 on it, $206 lifetime profit over 203 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is JohnP92, with $359 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 423 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.