Who's betting on “Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $858 by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $858 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is villa20, with $138 on it, $0 lifetime profit over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $110 on it, $459K lifetime profit over 6,634 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $623
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $234
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$623 on it
- 1villa200% won of 1$138+$0 lifetime
- 2RememberAmalek73% won of 1,170 · whale$121+$840K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme39% won of 142,704 · noise$61+$271K lifetime
- 4Golftango61% won of 413$60−$3.3K lifetime
- 5gogi8835% won of 127 · noise$50+$992 lifetime
No$234 on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 6,634 · whale$110+$459K lifetime
- 2AMAM1352% won of 10,698$44−$120K lifetime
- 3pppnn35% won of 9,440$43−$79K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 19,715 · noise$26+$28K lifetime
- 50xa169…1b7352% won of 1,850 · balanced$6+$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
3 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $858 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is villa20, with $138 on it, $0 lifetime profit over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $110 on it, $459K lifetime profit over 6,634 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.