Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 78 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is pieped, with $896 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 206 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $810 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1pieped59% won of 206 · whale$896+$15K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$173−$377K lifetime
- 3MispricedPaladin59% won of 194$63−$1.9K lifetime
- 4resilience2656% won of 3,262$62−$13K lifetime
- 5smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$37+$106K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$810+$127K lifetime
- 2K80PRO56% won of 901$278−$577 lifetime
- 3AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,844 · whale$251+$422K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,151$89−$48K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$30+$325K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is pieped, with $896 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 206 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $810 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 78 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.