Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is autisem, with $190 on it, $2.8K lifetime profit over 279 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is RememberAmalek, with $203 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $761
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $408
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$761 on it
- 1autisem68% won of 279 · whale$190+$2.8K lifetime
- 2resilience2656% won of 3,262$115−$13K lifetime
- 3smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$101+$106K lifetime
- 4pieped59% won of 206 · whale$84+$15K lifetime
- 5K80PRO56% won of 901$57−$577 lifetime
No$408 on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$203+$819K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,227$95−$49K lifetime
- 30x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F27% won of 15,727$41−$81K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 87,012 · noise$32+$829K lifetime
- 5i2dt71% won of 356 · whale$16+$17K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is autisem, with $190 on it, $2.8K lifetime profit over 279 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is RememberAmalek, with $203 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.