Who's betting on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $39K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 144 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 74 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 59% 69 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $39K has been traded on it.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
Who holds it
144 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 143 of them.
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $7
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
6 more- 5.5%$227K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- 5.7%$128K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- 6.0%$119K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 5.4%$88K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: No
- 5.2%$166K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?$25K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?"?
144 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 143 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $39K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $39K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.