Who's betting on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.0K by 105 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on September 23, 2026 and resolved Yes. $25K has been traded on it.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
105 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them.
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $8.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in this event
6 more- 5.5%$227K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- 5.7%$128K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- 6.0%$119K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 5.4%$88K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: No
- 5.2%$166K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- 5.3%$39K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?"?
105 wallets hold a position worth $8.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?"?
This market closed on September 23, 2026 and resolved Yes. $25K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 23, 2026 and resolved Yes. $25K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.