Who's betting on “Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $183K traded all time
- Held now
- $44K by 192 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 123 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 69 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $183K has been traded on it.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
192 wallets hold a position worth $44K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 192 of them.
- Holders
- 123
- Money on it
- $44K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in São Paulo Governor Election Winner
4 more- Kim Kataguiri$79K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Erika Hilton$24K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Márcio França$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?"?
192 wallets hold a position worth $44K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 192 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $183K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved Yes. $183K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.