Who's betting on “Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?”?
Smart money leans No: 64% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $58K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 102 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 32% 62 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $58K has been traded on it.
The smart money
32% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
Who holds it
102 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them.
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $10
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in São Paulo Governor Election Winner
4 more- Tarcísio de Freitas$183K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Kim Kataguiri$79K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Márcio França$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?"?
102 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $58K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
32% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $58K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.