Who's betting on “Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 31% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $79K traded all time
- Held now
- $80 by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 31% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 23% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $79K has been traded on it.
The smart money
31% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $80 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them.
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $71
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in São Paulo Governor Election Winner
4 more- Tarcísio de Freitas$183K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
- Fernando Haddad$58K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Erika Hilton$24K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Márcio França$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $80 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $79K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
31% of the money on Yes and 23% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $79K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.