Who's betting on “Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?”?
Politics · $28K volume · Ends February 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
76% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
63 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $50 on it, $837K lifetime profit over 1,102 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 881112, with $2.5K on it, $442K lifetime profit over 1,101 markets (60% won).
- Smart money share
- 76%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $95
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 100%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalekwhale | $50 | +$837K | 73% of 1,102 |
| Nadminoise | $5 | +$147K | 34% of 1,203 |
| 0x01ca…708e | $4 | -$114 | 55% of 11 |
| donthackmenoise | $4 | +$907K | 29% of 69,634 |
| thecaricature | $4 | -$8.0K | 42% of 660 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 881112whale | $2.5K | +$442K | 60% of 1,101 |
| hadarhaddadbalanced | $561 | +$2.5K | 48% of 743 |
| tinman2whale | $99 | +$12K | 79% of 382 |
| ReziVali | $78 | +$6 | 93% of 30 |
| stubalanced | $49 | +$2.6K | 72% of 114 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
- No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026$400K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
- December$26K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- November$13K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- August$54K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- September$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?"?
63 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $50 on it, $837K lifetime profit over 1,102 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 881112, with $2.5K on it, $442K lifetime profit over 1,101 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.