Who's betting on “Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?”?
Politics · $13K volume · Ends February 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
60% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
49 wallets hold a position worth $622 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $199 on it, $837K lifetime profit over 1,102 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is ponydsb, with $80 on it, $54 lifetime profit over 46 markets (50% won).
- Smart money share
- 60%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $423
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 85%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $198
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalekwhale | $199 | +$837K | 73% of 1,102 |
| 0xCuck | $33 | -$45 | 69% of 35 |
| 0x01ca…708e | $29 | -$114 | 55% of 11 |
| rgess | $23 | -$1.4K | 36% of 77 |
| young4h | $21 | -$362 | 64% of 58 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ponydsbnoise | $80 | +$54 | 50% of 46 |
| FishermansFiendbalanced | $77 | +$2.0K | 72% of 195 |
| gonnakilmyslf | $15 | -$1.8K | 45% of 2,074 |
| asdasdasdwow123 | $13 | -$5.9K | 60% of 202 |
| wert4balanced | $5 | +$657 | 60% of 681 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
- No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026$400K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
- October$28K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- December$26K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- August$54K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- September$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $622 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $199 on it, $837K lifetime profit over 1,102 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is ponydsb, with $80 on it, $54 lifetime profit over 46 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.