Who's betting on “Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?”?
Politics · $26K volume · Ends February 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
30% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points. A week ago, No by 51 points.
51 wallets hold a position worth $943 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is banestow, with $422 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 318 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is ef24221, with $51 on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 27 markets (89% won).
- Smart money share
- 30%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $860
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 80%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $82
- Holders' winrate
- 77%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| banestow | $422 | -$8.2K | 66% of 318 |
| OpperHeimnoise | $63 | +$631 | 52% of 44 |
| RememberAmalekwhale | $58 | +$837K | 73% of 1,102 |
| haouibao | $38 | -$160 | 100% of 68 |
| Porxwhale | $37 | +$106K | 84% of 371 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ef24221balanced | $51 | +$2.5K | 89% of 27 |
| asdasdasdwow123 | $12 | -$5.9K | 60% of 202 |
| wert4balanced | $5 | +$657 | 60% of 681 |
| Hugin-og-Muninwhale | $5 | +$22K | 43% of 14,101 |
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $5 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
- No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026$400K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Smart money: No
- October$28K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- November$13K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- August$54K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- September$23K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Who's betting on Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $943 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is banestow, with $422 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 318 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is ef24221, with $51 on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 27 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
30% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points. A week ago, No by 51 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.