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Who's betting on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?”?

Finance$12K traded42 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026

3%Yes

97%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.

Volume: $12K
Held now: $4.3K
Smart share · Yes: 45%
Smart share · No: 77%

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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

45% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.

Who holds it

42 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is Numitus1994, with $41 on it, $28K lifetime loss over 15,720 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0x91572B16dC769ef8b8F1F98D5270B05A36e3626b-1770128923810, with $2.8K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 654 markets (97% won).

Yes3%

Smart money share45%

7 days ago 41%a day ago 45%now 45%

Holders: 22
Money on it: $130
Holders' win rate: 56%

No97%

🧠 Smart money leans here

Smart money share77%

7 days ago 82%a day ago 77%now 77%

Holders: 20
Money on it: $4.2K
Holders' win rate: 90%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$130 on it

1Numitus199449% won of 15,720$41−$28K lifetime
2grasstoucher6956% won of 6,522 · whale$24+$157K lifetime
3ng600080% won of 972 · whale$23+$41K lifetime
4lilesto242% won of 1,050$14−$38K lifetime
5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$7−$485K lifetime

No$4.2K on it

10x91572B16dC769ef8b8F1F98D5270B05A36e3626b-177012892381097% won of 654 · balanced$2.8K+$17K lifetime
2LiuJeremy79% won of 373 · balanced$297+$2.1K lifetime
3AlAhmeda71% won of 1,367$291−$96K lifetime
4olegs97% won of 1,280$272−$36K lifetime
5vni1bk54% won of 72$226−$6.1K lifetime

Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →

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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?"?

42 wallets hold a position worth $4.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is Numitus1994, with $41 on it, $28K lifetime loss over 15,720 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0x91572B16dC769ef8b8F1F98D5270B05A36e3626b-1770128923810, with $2.8K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 654 markets (97% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 41 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.