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Who's betting on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?”?

Finance$15K traded57 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
1%Yes
99%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 61% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$15K
traded all time
Held now
$4.0K
by 57 wallets
Smart share · Yes
44%
30 scored holders
Smart share · No
61%
27 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

44% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

57 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is KOMZY, with $10 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 308 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $921 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 770 markets (74% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share44% ▼ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 49%a day ago 45%now 44%
Holders
30
Money on it
$36
Holders' win rate
68%
No99%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share61% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 53%a day ago 60%now 61%
Holders
27
Money on it
$4.0K
Holders' win rate
63%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$36 on it

  1. 1KOMZY85% won of 308$10−$59K lifetime
  2. 2thanksforplayin58% won of 2,163 · whale$7+$262K lifetime
  3. 3GellerCharlie77% won of 296 · balanced$5+$13K lifetime
  4. 4liz9603....0% won of 1$5−$842 lifetime
  5. 5just-bettor44% won of 1,405 · balanced$2+$3.0K lifetime

No$4.0K on it

  1. 1Avamax74% won of 770 · whale$921+$17K lifetime
  2. 2lilesto242% won of 1,050$762−$38K lifetime
  3. 3PippiTrader63% won of 3,858 · whale$638+$37K lifetime
  4. 4TrashGirl70% won of 318$289−$50 lifetime
  5. 5k7X9mP2qW452% won of 327 · whale$264+$28K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?"?

57 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is KOMZY, with $10 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 308 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $921 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 770 markets (74% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

44% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.