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Who's betting on “Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?”?

Finance$24K traded58 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026

2%Yes

99%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 50% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.

Volume: $24K
Held now: $3.7K
Smart share · Yes: 24%
Smart share · No: 50%

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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

24% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.

Who holds it

58 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is lilesto2, with $15 on it, $38K lifetime loss over 1,050 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Liquidifier, with $776 on it, $181K lifetime profit over 1,151 markets (49% won).

Yes2%

Smart money share24% ▲ 6 pts in 24 h

7 days ago 20%a day ago 18%now 24%

Holders: 34
Money on it: $56
Holders' win rate: 55%

No99%

🧠 Smart money leans here

Smart money share50% ▼ 3 pts in 24 h

7 days ago 67%a day ago 53%now 50%

Holders: 24
Money on it: $3.7K
Holders' win rate: 59%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$56 on it

1lilesto242% won of 1,050$15−$38K lifetime
2alphaunc64% won of 25$8−$5.9K lifetime
30xb54Ad0c3a0754a04Fe4F930DC8BF14B915241526-176854417692173% won of 30 · balanced$6+$1.5K lifetime
4burge14646% won of 770$6−$1.7K lifetime
573f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.95% won of 698 · grinder$4+$1.3K lifetime

No$3.7K on it

1Liquidifier49% won of 1,151 · whale$776+$181K lifetime
2vni1bk54% won of 72$713−$6.1K lifetime
3TrashGirl70% won of 318$420−$50 lifetime
4LiuJeremy79% won of 373 · balanced$412+$2.1K lifetime
5thanksforplayin58% won of 2,163 · whale$388+$262K lifetime

Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →

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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?"?

58 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is lilesto2, with $15 on it, $38K lifetime loss over 1,050 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Liquidifier, with $776 on it, $181K lifetime profit over 1,151 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

24% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.